We are crossing a serious world crisis of that nobody is sure how we will go out. Macroeconomic numbers are analyzed and plans are designed to stabilize the system, but nothing will work if there is not born in mind the principal factor that sublies in any crisis of a system: the human factor, a factor simultaneously estabilizante and destabilizing.
The amazing of the history
There is something amazing that has always attracted attention of me on the history. It happened earlier, it happens now and, possibly, it will always happen: the humanity seems neither to know, nor be able to control really, where it goes. The events happen and when everything seems stingy and in his place, there comes a new incident that spoils everything, wars, revolutions, economic crises or any another catastrophe. Before these situations the history, after happened, extracts his conclusions and helps us to prevent from repeating themselves again, but there is always something that escapes from us and everything derives again in some new catastrophe, everything begins again again.
Effect butterfly
In physics there exist a few systems that are extremely sensitive to the initial conditions. For very well that know the variables that are going to influence his development, for very sophisticated that there should become the instruments that measure them, there will always be a minimal suspense that will influence, decisívamente, the later development of the system. A minimal cause will be capable of unleashing big consequences. This effect is known, popularly, with the name of “effect of the butterfly”. Of exaggerated, but very graphic form, it is explained that the simple flight of a butterfly, in Africa, can unleash, with the time, a hurricane in China. The first one of these systems that was studied, somewhere near the sixties, was the time metereológico.
Effect butterfly and history
From the first moment, in which I had knowledge of this curious type of physical systems, he reminded to the proper one to occur of the history. We know thousands of small anecdotes that influenced, decisively, the later development of extremely important events. Any of these minuscule causes, on having developed in a different way, would have changed the destination of any country or of the world. The history has passed, during thousands of years, curdled with million with events of major or important minor, interlaced of random form or not. In many senses, it might be considered to be a system “very sensitive to the initial conditions”, not linear system and with infinity of feedbacks. Fortunately, the manipulators that try, and they will try, to change the destination of the nations, hardly, they will be able to bear in mind all the necessary variables to obtain his intention. Very short-term it is possible that his calculations are correct, but in average and long term they will be wrong. The small miscalculations, the same way as the events develop, they are having major influence in the results them up to going so far as to disfigure. The well-intentioned performances will come across, in principle, with the same disadvantages before the effect multiplier of the small miscalculations on the system. More now, that the effect of the globalization trasforma to the world in a more sensitive and unstable system.
Dignity and stability?
Apart from the factor purely “physical“, of the suspense, there is a cardinal element, in the historical development, which the manipulator stretches to forget and which is allied by the “effect of the butterfly” to spoil his plans. It can seem slightly scientific, even unreal, but, far from that, it obeys an observable and solid reality, and it is an essential element of the human factor: the dignity humanizes. It does not act like engine of the history but rather how "encauzador" of the real engine. This one, certainly, is not foreign to the egoism in his most diverse forms perverse in major or minor measurement.
The egoistic power tends to tread on everything, without any type of consideration. It is a coarse motive element, like a thunderstorm. But in contrast to the thunderstorm that acts without obstacles, obeying physical laws and conditionings purely mechanical, the power always has face to the dignity of the person. He will tread on it one and thousand times, will despise it, but in the end it will find it face to face, facing him, in the germ of any revolution or necessary change. And it will be capable of re-leading the proper current of the history. This is the difference between the physical, chaotic systems in the sense in which they can continue very different trajectories of future, the same way valid, and the “sensitive system” of the history which only stable final trajectory, after any chaotic change, goes on for the respect to the human dignity. The feeling that makes feel the only, different, with an intrinsic value, like center that we are of the world of which we perceive, of our world. It is a universal feeling and he is born of the proper conscience of being.
All the lovers of the physics and of the justice we can congratulate ourselves of that a "friendly" physical effect is allied of the social justice against the egoistic calculations of the power. These calculations organized by the most powerful of the computers that could exist in the future, are unable to gather all the information, potentially necessary and influential, in his smallest details. A simple flight, not foreseen, not calculated, of an insignificant butterfly it will be able to spoil the most perfect and pondered plans. This simple flight will be also capable of spoiling the well-intentioned plans that try to control any crisis if they are not provided with the factor of stabilization that introduces, in infinity of unstable points, the respect to the personal dignity.
Extracted Post of my collaboration with Book of notes, Sciences and letters.
HAPPY YEAR FRIENDS!!!
Thursday, March 18, 2010
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